Housing Market Update August 10th 2025: Best Rates In The Past 12 Months
August Housing Market Update: Why Rates Just Hit Their Best Point of the Year
If you’ve been waiting for a sign to make your next move in real estate—whether that’s buying, selling, or refinancing—this could be it. The first week of August brought a major shift in the mortgage market, and it’s giving both homebuyers and Realtors a rare window of opportunity.
What Happened on August 1?
The monthly jobs report came in far weaker than expected—just 70,000 new jobs compared to the 110,000 economists predicted. On top of that, the previous two months’ numbers were revised downward by a whopping 275,000 jobs.
Why does that matter?
Markets took it as a clear sign that the economy is slowing, and that the Federal Reserve will almost certainly cut interest rates in September. In fact, the bond market—the biggest driver of mortgage rates—reacted immediately, pushing rates down sharply by lunchtime on August 1.
Rates Are Already Pricing in the Fed Cut
Even though the Fed hasn’t officially moved yet, the market tends to act in advance. Investors now believe there’s a 94% chance of a September rate cut, and that confidence is already reflected in today’s mortgage rates.
In other words—you don’t need to wait until September to get the benefit.
The market already “delivered” the rate cut on August 1.
Why This Matters for Homebuyers
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Better Affordability: Lower rates can mean hundreds of dollars in monthly savings, improving your purchasing power.
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More Inventory Options: Sellers may be more motivated as buyer demand rises with improved financing conditions.
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Lock in While It’s Good: Rates can change quickly. Economic data, inflation reports, or market surprises could erase these gains overnight.
Why This Matters for Realtors
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Re-Engage Your Pipeline: This is the perfect moment to call pre-approved buyers who were waiting for rates to dip.
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Motivate Sellers: Use the current rate environment as a selling point—more qualified buyers are in the market.
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Cash-Out Refis = Move-Up Buyers: Homeowners considering a cash-out refinance may now have more favorable terms, opening the door to upsizing or investing.
A Word of Caution
This is not a marathon—it’s more like a sprint. Markets can turn on a single economic report. We’ve seen it before: a strong inflation reading or unexpected Fed commentary could push rates back up in a matter of days.
If you’re in the market to buy, sell, or refinance, now is the time to act. Waiting for the “official” Fed announcement in September could mean missing this window entirely.
Bottom line:
Mortgage rates are at their best point of 2025 so far—and you don’t have to wait for September to benefit. For homebuyers, that could mean locking in a lower payment. For Realtors, it’s the ideal time to reconnect with clients who were previously priced out.
About Between Two Doors
Between Two Doors is a podcast where I talk with Realtors about their journey, aiming to connect home buyers and sellers with agents on a more personal level. I ask "right brain" questions that go beyond transactions, focusing on the experiences, values, and passions that make these professionals great at what they do.
Listen to more episodes at: https://www.betweentwodoors.com
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